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Bexar County voters prefer Bush

The San Antonio Survey 2000 (SAS 2000) is an annual survey conducted by the University of Texas at San Antonio students in the combined research methods courses of political science, sociology, criminal justice and public administration, in conjunction with the University's Metropolitan Research and Policy Institute. The purpose of the survey is to give research methods students experience in survey research as well as to measure the attitudes and perceptions of San Antonians on important topics of the day. Surveys were conducted during the weeks of October 9-25th, 2000.

The SAS 2000 data are based on a random probability sample of individuals with telephones and consist of eight hundred and forty-two (842) responses from the Bexar County metropolitan area. A split sample design produced 389 completed responses from a random sample of registered voters who had voted in any one of the last five elections, and 388 from a random sample of adults in San Antonio with telephones. The standard error of the entire sample is +/- 3.4% and the error for each split sample is +/- 4.8% with a 95 percent confidence level.

Question that was asked:

	Frequency	%	Cum. %
Gore	94	23.7	23.7
Bush	222	55.9	79.6
Nader	12	03.0	82.6
Buchanan	3	00.8	83.4
Don't Know	66	16.6	100.0

Fifty six percent of the San Antonio voters surveyed indicated that they would support Governor Bush's candidacy for President.

	Anglo	Latino	AfriAm	Other	Total
Gore	16.0	42.9	54.5	20.7	23.2
Bush	66.0	32.1	18.2	51.7	56.4
Nader	2.6	4.8	0.0	3.4	3.1
Buchanan	1.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.8
Don't Know	14.2	20.2	27.3	24.1	16.6
TOTAL	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0

Anglos overwhelmingly support a Bush candidacy (66%), while San Antonio's Latino and African American voters are much less supportive. Interestingly, nearly one-third (32.1%) of the Latino voter respondents indicate support for Governor Bush for President.
High percentage of the non-Anglo voters expressed "Don't Know."

	Male	Female	Total
Gore	20.5	26.1	23.7
Bush	59.6	53.1	55.9
Nader	4.1	2.2	3.0
Buchanan	1.2	0.4	0.8
Don't Know	14.6	18.1	16.6
TOTAL	100.0	100.0	100.0

There is no statistically significant gender gap among voters presidential preferences.

	18-29	30-44	45-64	65+	Total
Gore	20.8	30.8	18.0	27.0	23.5
Bush	54.2	53.8	63.4	48.0	56.6
Nader	4.2	2.2	4.1	2.0	3.1
Buchanan	4.2	2.2	0.0	0.0	16.0
TOTAL	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0

Note: the decline in support among respondents 65 and older to the Bush candidacy. Among this cohort, the "don't know"s are the highest. This may suggest some uneasiness with his position on "senior" issues like health care and prescription drugs.

	Republican	Democrat	Ind/Other	Total
Gore	4.5	72.6	15.6	23.7
Bush	85.8	4.8	56.7	57.1
Nader	1.3	3.6	5.0	3.2
Buchanan	1.9	0.0	0.0	0.8
Don't Know	6.5	19.0	22.7	15.3
TOTAL	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0

No real surprises.
Bexar County partisan voters will support their party's nominees.
Even "Independent/Other" indicate a preference for Bush although they also exhibit the largest "Don't Know" responses.

	<$20K	$20-30K	$31-49K	>$50K	Total
Gore	52.9	29.4	35.0	23.3	28.2
Bush	29.4	32.4	47.5	65.3	55.2
Nader	0.0	14.7	2.5	2.0	3.7
Buchanan	0.0	0.0	5.0	0.7	1.2
Don't Know	17.6	23.5	10.0	8.7	11.6
TOTAL	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0	100.0

Significant differences in presidential preference by income category. Lower income voters responded with strong preferences for Democratic nominee Al Gore, although 18 percent expressed "Don't Know"; while higher income counterparts demonstrated a stronger preference for Bush.